Global Impact: ‘Cuddly Grandpa’ Prabowo Subianto claims a victory for all Indonesians, defence minister to succeed Jokowi

Based on unofficial quick-count results, Prabowo secured around 58 per cent of the vote in the February 14 election.

Should the final official results reflect the quick counts – which has been a historical trend – it would mean Prabowo has earned a decisive victory over former governors Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo.

What changed Prabowo’s fortunes this time? Observers suggest that it was a strategic rebranding move, aiming at shifting away from his strongman image to a more amicable “cuddly grandpa” persona.

He tapped Jokowi’s 36-year-old son, Gibran Rakabuming Raka, as his running mate, which provided a significant boost to his polling numbers.

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Prabowo Subianto declares victory in Indonesian election as early counts give him 58% of votes

Jokowi’s tacit support for Prabowo and his political manoeuvring has left a stain on the way the election panned out, and on the incumbent’s legacy, observers said.

In the lead-up to election day, students and activists took to the streets to denounce both Jokowi and Prabowo, and demonstrations have continued, with protesters alleging the electoral process was undemocratic.

“The voters had a dilemma between choosing a candidate for change or sticking to continuity with Jokowi’s policies, and it appears they have gone with the latter option,” said Arya Fernandes, head of the politics department at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies in Jakarta.

“This shows the political support and endorsement by Jokowi was effective and has really worked out. It really helped shape voters’ perceptions of Prabowo.”

What the future looks like for Indonesia under Prabowo’s rule is still very much up in the air, according to analysts. Some describe him as a “political chameleon” who has