The Federal Reserve may have pretty much just hit its 2% inflation target
This week's inflation data provided more evidence that the Federal Reserve is nearing its objective, fresh on the heels of the central bank's dramatic interest rate cut just a few weeks ago.
Consumer and producer price indexes for September both came in around expectations, showing that inflation is drifting down to the central bank's 2% target.
In fact, economists at Goldman Sachs think the Fed may already be there.
The Wall Street investment bank Friday projected that the Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures price index for September will show a 12-month inflation rate of 2.04% when it is released later this month.
If Goldman is correct, that number would get rounded down to 2% and be right in line with the Fed's long-held objective, a little over two years after inflation spiked to a 40-year high and unleashed an aggressive round of interest rate hikes. The Fed prefers the PCE as its inflation gauge though it uses a variety of inputs to make decisions.
"The overall trend over 12, 18 months is clearly that inflation has come down a lot, and the job market has cooled to a level which is around where we think full employment is," Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said in a CNBC interview Thursday after the latest consumer price data was released. "We'd like to get both of them to stay in the space where they are right now."
While keeping inflation at bay may not be an easy task, the latest data indicates that though prices are not receding from their troublesome heights of a few years ago, the rate at which they are increasing is pulling back.
The 12-month rate for the all-items consumer price index was at 2.4% in September, while the producer price index, a proxy for wholesale inflation and a leading