Leadership transitions and Asean’s future

September 9, 2024

MANILA – As 2024 unfolds, leadership changes are sweeping across the globe, with approximately more than two billion voters in 50 countries expected to cast their ballots this year. These transitions hold the potential to reshape political landscapes and bring new opportunities worldwide.

Asean has not been immune to these changes. Over the past two years, several member states have witnessed significant political developments. Anwar Ibrahim became Malaysia’s 10th prime minister. The Philippines saw Ferdinand Marcos Jr. return to Malacañan Palace in the country’s 17th presidential election. On May 15, Singapore’s Lawrence Wong was signed in as their fourth prime minister, and Indonesia will see Prabowo Subianto assume the presidency officially in October.

In 2023, Cambodia’s Prime Minister Hun Sen transferred power to his son, Hun Manet. Recently, Vietnam’s President Vo Van Thuong resigned due to corruption scandals, and To Lam, the former security chief, has taken his place. In Thailand, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin lasted barely a year as prime minister, and newly minted Paetongtarn Shinawatra has now been entrusted to run the country.

These political shifts should bring new hope and opportunities for Asean citizens. However, whether they will lead to significant progress still remains uncertain.

Impact on Asean dynamics. Leadership transitions can significantly alter the dynamics within Asean and among its member states. A study by the Institute of Strategic and International Studies Malaysia highlighted that Ibrahim’s election as prime minister invigorated Asean’s regional relations.

His proactive diplomacy emphasized closer ties within Asean and beyond, showcasing Malaysia’s commitment to