‘Gutter talk’: is Manila overcorrecting its China policy post-Duterte?

After six years of Beijing-friendly foreign policy under former president Rodrigo Duterte, the Philippine political and defence establishment has embraced an uncompromising stance on maritime disputes with China.

While they may see this as a justified response and a noble attempt at preserving their country’s sovereign rights, the Philippines should also be wary of overcorrecting its China policy. Otherwise, the two rival claimants may sleepwalk into dangerous waters.

05:12

Philippines races to upgrade its degrading military in the face of maritime disputes

A charismatic populist, Duterte largely managed to defy both the Western-trained Philippine defence establishment and broader public opinion on the South China Sea disputes. Since his departure from power, however, the Philippine elite has adopted a China-sceptic foreign policy with a vengeance.

04:30

Philippines sets up ‘game changer’ monitoring station on island in disputed South China Sea

Though the Philippines’ new-found strategic assertiveness is understandable against the backdrop of the Duterte era’s passivity, it also risks adding fuel to fire. The Philippines should first and foremost maintain the diplomatic high ground by letting professional diplomats do their job.

It is crucial that Manalo and the foreign affairs department remain the primary and predominant source of major policy pronouncements; top defence officials should rather focus on matters regarding national defence. As for Filipino politicians, most of whom remained mum during the Duterte years, they should shun anti-China demagoguery ahead of elections, in favour of responsible statesmanship.

Manila should explore a common understanding with Beijing, whereby each side helps avoid unnecessary