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The big economic news this week was Biden’s very large tariffs on a number of Chinese-made goods. Those tariffs appear to have acted as a catalyst for a bunch of other countries — India, Brazil, Vietnam, Thailand, Mexico, the EU, etc. — to consider their own tariffs on China.
China’s recent economic data presents a mixed, yet promising, picture of its ongoing and evolving economic recovery.
China reported higher-than-expected export growth in May of 11.2% in RMB terms and 7.6% in terms of US dollars year-on-year, indicating that the country is like to meet the government’s 5% growth target for 2024.
The Biden administration reportedly will slap a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicle (EV) imports, except that no Chinese cars presently are offered for sale in the United States.
China’s exports in April surged towards the Global South while shrinking in developed markets, following a pattern of geographic divergence that began four years ago.
During the past four years, China shifted the preponderance of its exports to the Global South away from developed markets, and at the same time built production facilities across the Global South that re-export to developed markets—circumventing America’s 25% tariff on most Chinese goods and other developed-market trade barriers.
Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the United States isn’t very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) – a metric economists sometimes call the “openness index” – the US is one of the least trade-oriented nations in the world.